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European hotel values remain flat in 2025 despite occupancy gains

European hotel values remain flat in 2025 despite occupancy gains

Values in London and Manchester both fell 3.4%, which researchers attributed to new supply and rising overheads

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European hotel values saw a marginal increase of 0.2% in 2025, marking the smallest rise since the pandemic, according to the latest Hotel Valuation Index from global consultancy HVS.

The report found that while occupancy levels improved across the region, ongoing conflict and global instability limited overall value appreciation.

Copenhagen recorded the highest growth at 5.9%, driven by strong demand and limited new supply. Athens followed with a 5.5% increase as it attracted significant institutional investment.

In contrast, Istanbul saw values fall 7.6% due to high inflation and currency devaluation. Amsterdam recorded a 5.9% drop following tax increases on hotel accommodation.

Values in London and Manchester both declined 3.4%. Researchers attributed this to new supply and rising overheads, including higher National Insurance and minimum wage costs.

Paris remains the most expensive hotel market in Europe, followed by London, Zurich, Rome, and Geneva. The report noted that 19th Century cities continue to lead in premium pricing.

Margherita Rivetti, report co-author and associate at HVS, said: “While overall the HVI showed little movement in values across Europe as a whole, leisure demand continues to boost hotel performance.

“In Eastern Europe a combination of leisure and corporate demand and more stable inflation have driven hotel values up while in Western Europe there are more mixed results.”

Maxime Gauthier, report-co-author and associate at HVS London, said: “With new travel trends emerging in today’s hyper-connected digital environment, opportunities for hotels to use AI arise in the pursuit of increasing customer reach.

“The distinction between hotel and residential is increasingly becoming more blurred. While branded residential remains an important topic, as brands are now venturing into the furnished apartment space.”

Sophie Perret, managing director of HVS London, added: “Europe’s appeal to tourists will remain strong, which coupled with its modest project pipeline bodes well for hotel performance. However, the conflict in the Middle East and subsequent oil disruption could have a severe impact the longer it lasts, particularly on interest rates.”

European hotel values show past trends of stagnation

The observation of marginal hotel value increases, such as the 0.2% uptick in 2025, parallels earlier trends, including a 2% rise in 2024 and stable values noted in 2023. While occupancy regained some momentum post-pandemic, external variables like geopolitical instability have historically suppressed value growth in the segment.

In 2024, European hotel transaction volumes surged by an astonishing 62%, marking a significant recovery phase. However, ongoing challenges, including inflation and taxation, particularly in Istanbul and Amsterdam, suggest the industry faces a complex and interconnected marketplace. Historical fluctuations indicate that pressures on value appreciation are recurring, echoing the cyclical nature of the industry.

Looking ahead, market dynamics influenced by conflict and regulatory shifts might constrain future value increases, despite potential growth from leisure demand in more stable regions. The interplay between project pipelines and macroeconomic factors will play a critical role in shaping hotel performance over the next 12-24 months.

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